Most pollsters show Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden with a sturdy and stable lead over President Trump at a time when tens of millions of people have already voted and there is almost no time to change the course of the race.

But a handful of contrarian pollsters believe Trump's support is underrepresented and that election analysts could be headed for another embarrassing miss on Election Day.

It should come as no surprise, then, that Biden is the oligarchs’ favorite pet. Forbes reports that he’s wrangled donations from 151 billionaires (as opposed to Trump’s 99). According to Wired, Biden received 95 percent of employee contributions from Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Microsoft, and Oracle, which explains the recent social media blackouts. With this cash flow, he’s managed to spend more on TV campaign ads than any presidential candidate in history. //

At this point, I’ll take a hyperbolic barker who’ll tell a couple of big truths over a blank-faced dotard backed by sophisticated propaganda. At least the orange guy’s actions will be held up to scrutiny.

Trump may be a used car salesman trying to sell my own lemon back to me, but you know what? I’d like to have America back. And I’m willing to pay for it.

As Abraham Lincoln said a few weeks before he issued the Emancipation Proclamation,  “The dogmas of the quiet past are inadequate to the stormy present.” The plain fact is that the future of American politics will not be marked by a return to an era of establishment rule because the establishment has failed.

Our institutions are not weak because of Trump, they are weak because our elites failed to maintain them. Our norms have not been undermined by Trump, they have been undermined by ordinary Americans who came to realize those norms were merely a cover for rank hypocrisy from our leaders. All of this has been decades in the making, and now it has come to pass.

And none of it can be wiped away by an election. The bell that sounded with Trump’s election four years ago, heralding a new populist era in American, cannot be un-rung. //

The new normal is right in front of us, right now: populist right versus populist left. Choose your fighter.

NYPD Sergeants Benevolent Association:

SBA
@SBANYPD
FACT: Walter Wallace was armed with a knife & trying to kill 2 uniform police officers. Do the 2 officers lives’ not matter to you? This further explains why NOT ONE police organization in the USA has endorsed you. @realDonaldTrump

Joe Biden
@JoeBiden
Our hearts are broken for the family of Walter Wallace Jr., and for all those suffering the emotional weight of learning about another Black life in America lost.

Walter’s life mattered. https://joebiden.com/2020/10/27/the-shooting-of-walter-wallace-jr-statement-from-vice-president-biden-and-senator-harris/

SBA
@SBANYPD
Walter Wallace was a career criminal ARMED WITH A KNIFE. He wasn’t waving it to cut 🥬🍅🥑🥕🥦🍍. He was arrested for assaulting his own mother. Are you really that much of a fool, stop lying to the people. @BernieSanders #feelthestupidity

Bernie Sanders
@BernieSanders
Walter Wallace should be alive today, and our thoughts are with his loved ones. The police responsible for murdering him in front of his mother instead of getting him the medical attention he needed should be arrested, investigated, and prosecuted by the Justice Department.

President Donald Trump was absolutely correct on Thursday night when he called New York City a “ghost town.”

President Donald Trump was absolutely correct on Thursday night when he called New York City a “ghost town.”

The legacy of the Kavanaugh confirmation battle is that Republicans finally figured out to stop playing along with the left’s games, in which nominees see their lives, family, and reputation on the chopping block. It took them a while, but better late than never.

History can repeat itself one of two ways here. Either we put Trump back in the White House, and he pulls us into another great economic ascension as he’s proven he can do like it’s second-nature, or we can put Biden back in the White House, where we’ll likely see economic stagnation, as our government, once again, invests in green energy bridges to nowhere.

If Trump really wants to sell his case to the American people, he needs to point this fact out, and point it out a lot. Biden has proven what his track record on economic recovery looks like, and it’s frightening. Meanwhile, Trump was doing so well, it’s a shame that the virus came along to stop his work. Where would we be right now if it hadn’t come?

We’ll find out if we vote him in again.

Joe Biden embodies all the worst traits of the professional political class that came of age after Nixon. He’s the perfect embodiment of everything Donald Trump’s first campaign was about — throwing them out that is.

So what does today’s Politico offering signal? Well, that Pres. Trump might actually win (Ya think?), so there must be some “hidden” causes that are going to contribute to that outcome.

Republican registration has ticked up in key states at the same time Democratic field operations were in hibernation.

[Cleaning off computer screen of coffee, and wiping nose] //

Public polls are propaganda. They are meant to shape public opinion and influence turnout. They reflect NOTHING about reality. That is because the final polling results all depend on what “weight” the pollster gives to certain demographic components of the poll data, and the weighting drives the outcome in terms of the numbers. The most common example, practiced for years by these sham pollsters, was simply including more Democrat voters in the final poll than historical analysis of voter turnout suggests will be the case. So if historical analysis says Democrat registered voters will be 37% of the electorate, the pollster includes 41% in sampling. He then does the opposite with GOP voters, and voila — you get the Democrat candidate with a lead in the race. //

Flagging “clear warning signs” for Biden, one prominent strategist circulated a memo among Democrats earlier this month citing increasing registration of white, noncollege educated voters — President Donald Trump’s base demographic — in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. There is no precedent for Trump overcoming such a large polling deficit this close to the election, the strategist wrote. “And yet … ”

You mean the same reason Trump won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania over Clinton in 2016 might still be the reason why Trump ends up beating Dementia Joe in 2020? //

Seriously — I have not seen any report on this Democrat strategist memo about an increase in registration by non-college educated white voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. The fact that the strategist would mention this variable is — to me — close to a “white flag of surrender” on the race. //

Here’s the nightmare part that was recognized by the author and political analyst last year.

[W]hat if Trump represents not a last gasp of cultural and racial revanchism but a new wave? What if the trickle of white men who voted for the first time in years in Wisconsin in 2016, despite widespread predictions that Trump’s candidacy was doomed, is followed in 2020 by a wave of previously nonvoting white males who conclude that Trump’s brand of tribal aggression is at last something worth voting for?

The universe of nonvoters is vast. Nationwide, 4 in 10 of those eligible did not vote in 2016. According to Brookings Institution demographer William Frey, more than 21 million nonvoters in 2016 were non-college-educated white men, Trump’s base. In Wisconsin … 459,000 non-college-educated white men didn’t vote in 2016. Trump won non-college-educated white men nationwide by an astounding 50 points. A modest rise in their turnout in key states in 2020 could swamp the Democratic nominee.

This dynamic is not limited to Wisconsin. This dynamic is why Pennsylvania is not really in play even though the press needs to pretend it is in order to keep Democrat hopes alive.

Florida is a state that — in my opinion — is really a GOP state that the media tries to argue is purple trending blue because of 2000, and because Obama won the state twice in 2008 and 2012.

One thing to keep in mind on that point, which I cover a bit more down below — only 2 Democrat politicians have won statewide in Florida for President, Governor, or Senator going back to 1998: Obama in 2008 and 20012, and Bill Nelson for Senate in 2000, 2006, and 2012.

Avatar
Roval
a day ago edited
You could have read that sign from the Russian Space Station.

6

The upshot of this brief historical overview is that incumbent Presidents have rarely lost their re-election efforts, and whey they did the circumstances generally included poor economic conditions (Hoover, Carter, and Bush 41), combined with facing a very strong opponent (Hoover/Roosevelt, Carter/Reagan, Bush 41/Clinton).

We are currently facing very challenging economic times, but they are the result of external factors, not the policies of the Trump Administration. The economic policies of the Trump Administration produced some of the best economic times ever.

And Joe Biden is among the worst challenger ever to face-off against an incumbent President. He’s nowhere close to the political actors that Roosevelt, Reagan, and Clinton were.

While Pres. Trump is polarizing, he’s not unpopular in his own party the way Carter was, and to a lesser degree Pres. Bush 41. Pres. Trump did not face a challenge from inside his owner party like Carter did, not does have have to deal with a significant Third Party candidate like Pres. Bush 41 did.

Setting aside the hysteria caused by the political press, this election has none of the historical earmarks of prior re-election efforts where the incumbent lost.

The show’s ending is preordained: “All the Republicans will vote yes; all the Democrats will vote no,” Graham said. He was really just holding the hearings to be polite. And then he puffed himself up on sanctimony and warned that everyone should be on their best behavior because “the world is watching.”

What exactly did the world see — if it hasn’t already turned away from this country in horror? It saw children used as messaging devices. It saw Sen. John Neely Kennedy (R-La.) describe the 2018 confirmation hearings for Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh as a “freak show,” because apparently asking a Supreme Court nominee to address credible accusations of sexual assault is against the natural order of things. “It looked like the cantina bar scene out of ‘Star Wars,’ ” Kennedy added. The world saw flailing Democrats and self-righteous Republicans.

And the world saw Barrett. She sat at the witness table in the center of it all wearing a non-wrinkling dress in a jubilant shade of magenta, a strand of pearls and a dark face mask. And while the hearing was ostensibly about Barrett, she spent the vast majority of it silent and nearly immobile. It was a feat of self-control that she didn’t appear to fidget or even furrow her brow. She didn’t fold her arms across her chest in a defensive posture as Democrats declared her a menace to liberal society. She didn’t lean in as Republicans anointed her a maternal Wonder Woman in judicial robes.

Barrett simply sat and blinked. And when she finally spoke, for just about 12 minutes, it was to make a few key points about her cultural identity. If confirmed, she would be the only justice who had not attended those bastions of East Coast elitism, Harvard or Yale; she graduated law school at Notre Dame. She believes in the power of prayer.

And she would be the first mother of school-age children to serve on the court.

The idea that the Senate saying absolutely nothing negative about Merrick Garland and simply choosing not to take up his nomination is somehow the beginning of the current Supreme Court insanity is so historically wrong as to be laughable. Democrats, led by Joe Biden, destroyed Robert Bork with lie after lie. They accused him of the worst evils and this was decades before Garland was ever nominated. //

Garland was not mistreated. It is not mistreatment or wrong to not confirm a nominee if they don’t have the votes. What is mistreatment and wrong is accusing Brett Kavanaugh of rape, Robert Bork of back alley abortions, and Amy Coney Barrett of being in a cult.

The fact is that Republicans have never treated a Democrat nominee the way Democrats treat Republican nominees. Even Elena Kagan and Sonya Sotomayor got GOP votes to confirm despite their radical ideologies.

The Senator revealed to us that he wrote his book “on his couch” in March after his self imposed COVID 19 quarantine. Never did he imagine just six months later the relevance of this book after the recent passing of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Did you know these important cases were decided by a 5-4 vote?

1. Religious Liberty and Van Orden v. Perry
2. School Choice and Zelman v. Simmons-Harris
3. Gun Rights and District of Columbia v. Heller
4. Sovereignty and Medellín v. Texas
5. Abortion and Gonzales v. Carhart
6. Free Speech and Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission
7. Crime, Law and Order, Capital Punishment, and Kennedy v. Louisiana

In our interview, we touched on these cases and discussed the Democrats’ plans of “packing the Supreme Court” and adding Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia as states to solidify their power for years.

The Democrats are promising to contest next month’s election if they come up short. Failed 2016 nominee Hillary Clinton has declared that Biden should not concede if the election is close. The stakes have never been higher.

As Americans head to the polls, One Vote Away reminds voters that in casting their ballot this November, they are selecting the leader whose appointments could build a Court that preserves freedom of speech, freedom of religion, and the right to bear arms, or irrevocably changes the future of the nation for decades to come.

Sometimes, it behooves us to consider a larger perspective.

Here is one such perspective. On September 5, 1977, NASA launched Voyager 1, a deep space probe designed to study the outer Solar System. This device performed far better than expected. As I write this, the probe is over 13.6 billion miles from Earth, the farthest of any devices ever launched by man…and is still responding to commands.

By 1990, Voyager 1 had completed its primary mission and was heading out of the Solar System. However, it was to get one final and most significant mission. Astronomer Carl Sagan prevailed upon NASA to have the spacecraft take a “family portrait” of the planets in the solar system, including Earth. The pictures were taken on Valentine’s Day, 1990 from a distance of 6 billion miles from home. The one showing Earth is the subject of a book by Sagan. No thinking person can see that picture, read his words, and then logically conclude that this all “just happened” on its own.

We succeeded in taking that picture [from deep space], and, if you look at it, you see a dot. That’s here. That’s home. That’s us. On it, everyone you ever heard of, every human being who ever lived, lived out their lives.

The aggregate of all our joys and sufferings, thousands of confident religions, ideologies and economic doctrines, every hunter and forager, every hero and coward, every creator and destroyer of civilizations, every king and peasant, every young couple in love, every hopeful child, every mother and father, every inventor and explorer, every teacher of morals, every corrupt politician, every superstar, every supreme leader, every saint and sinner in the history of our species, lived there on a mote of dust, suspended in a sunbeam.

Carl Sagan, 1994

Zogby poll showing that he has a 51% approval rating. That’s an important metric to hit, as Gallup has observed that historically, “all incumbents with an approval rating of 50% or higher have won reelection, and presidents with approval ratings much lower than 50% have lost.” //

So Gallup asked Americans between September 14-28 if they were better off now than they were four years ago and 56% said they were, even in the midst of a pandemic. The number was actually even higher in January before the virus at 61 percent.

% of Americans who say they are better off now than they were 4 years ago

Sept 2020: 56 percent

Dec 2012: 45 percent

Oct 2004: 47 percent

Oct 1992: 38 percent

July 1984: 44 percent

https://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/321650/gallup-election-2020-coverage.aspx

He’s 12 points higher than Reagan who won in a landslide in 1984 and 11 points higher than Obama in 2012 in that number. That should terrify the Democrats, especially when combined with Trump’s approval number.

The poll also asked, regardless of who they support, who did they think was going to win? A majority of Americans said Trump, by a lot, from 56 to 40 precent. //

The poll also found that while MSM polls were saying that Biden was leading, that more Americans agreed with Trump’s policy position than with that of Biden, 49 to 46 percent.

JERRY DUNLEAVY
@JerryDunleavy
Kristen Welker (@KWelkerNBC), the moderator of the next presidential debate, has either deactivated or deleted her Twitter account. //

What does that mean? It means that she has so many things in her account that would be problematic she can’t delete them easily and she has to deactivate the whole account in the meantime.

McCain’s decision not to retire before his death threw Arizona into a years-long tumult to regain two, fully-vested senators to represent her. //

November’s contest will only serve to fill the final two years of McCain’s term. Then voters will have to go through this election rigmarole all over again. //

You and your family don’t own the Senate seat, Mrs. McCain, despite your late husband’s insistence on staying in it and holding us hostage, until he decided to work his own will in that vote. Don’t talk to Arizonans about anyone respecting people. Sen. McCain showed disrespect for Arizona, just utter disdain for the people he had promised to serve, by his own selfish actions.