Nate Silver calculated the 7-day average of each state’s number of newly-reported cases of COVID-19 and, in the following Twitter thread, placed each one into a category that indicates where they fall on the COVID-19 curve. The number of new cases is a leading indicator.

Most models, such as the IHME, look at the number of new deaths per day by state. Deaths, as we’ve learned by now, are a lagging indicator. These figures can be viewed by clicking here. Click on the drop-down menu which says “United States of America,” for any state or country.

Silver found that all 50 states are either currently at their peak or beyond. //

DaveM_2 • 2 hours ago

Notice how the more restrictive actions are being mandated after the peak?