From that article:
Microsoft says that Insider Program PCs that didn't meet Windows 11's minimum requirements "had 52% more kernel mode crashes" than PCs that did and that "devices that do meet the system requirements had a 99.8% crash-free experience."

So... 0.2% experienced crashes. 52% more is 0.3%. So 99.7% had a crash-free experience without the new features. I suspect it's mostly about locking everything down. Heck, looking at StatCounter's Windows version stats the share of Win7 only fell below 10% in 2023 even though support ended in 2020. Use of Win11 is only 20% today. Clearly nobody's rushing to get a new OS.

The problem for Microsoft is that they have nowhere to grow. Apple's M-chip computers are selling well. For the younger generation smartphones/tablets are their default. They have the business and gaming markets, but those are already saturated. But if they think they can increase the revenue through OEM fees by forcing a premature upgrade of non-obsolete hardware, I think they're really miscalculating.

People will simply not upgrade. Best case nothing happens from running unsupported and they don't get any money, worst case some bad exploits and bad PR. Apple must be loving that, if they can avoid pricing their entry level products out of the market they'll grab another big chunk of ex-Windows customers. And Linux is an okay desktop these days too, if you don't want either of those.